It seems that mainstream media outlets and Western .gov cheerleaders just can’t put a finger on reasons for the dramatic increase in the price of gold over the past 2 months. Mercifully, a little profit taking is allowing them time to collect their thoughts and we’re here to help. There’s no such confusion for long […]
What a difference 2 weeks makes. Investors did not even bother to stop and consider why the US Fed policy makers made such an aggressive policy pivot last week, they just bought all the things. It’s not like the US Fed had an alarming set of inflation or job numbers, consumer sentiment is fine (according […]
Looks like it’s going to be another rough week for equity markets on the back of continued escalation in the middle East. Not sure what’s happening in Ukraine though, can someone tell us if things have wound up in Ukraine recently, news seems hard to come by. And what about the last $100B of “packages” […]
There was an important theme laid out by Herbert Hoover(1874-1964) back in the 1930’s. There are only 3 ways to meet the unpaid bills/promises of a nation. The first is taxation. The second is repudiation. The third is inflation. What do you think the current crop of Western global leaders think of this thesis? Invest accordingly. […]
“Chase after money and security and your heart will never unclench. Care about other people’s approval and you will be their prisoner. Do your work, then step back. The only path to serenity.” – Lao Tzu Serious disclaimer upfront: personal serenity, peace between the ears and any existing meditative state maintenance is your own responsibility […]
For the time being, if you hadn’t noticed, the 0% interest rate world where money just fell from the sky is over. 14 years of whatever it takes, an era that forced investors to take on more and more risk to achieve some yield or capital gain via speculation is starting to blow back. At […]
Near on three weeks ago the first we witnessed the first major Central Bank policy “pivot” from the Bank of England as it changed its fiscal rhetoric from tightening to “accommodative”, within 24 hours as UK Pension Funds started panic selling Bonds to meet Margin Calls (very 2007). Global Markets were in freefall and desperately […]
Been wondering what’s behind the share market strength of last week and early this week? Dead cat bounce short squeeze or new bull market? Time will tell. This rally began last week with horrible economic news out of the US and Europe, giving investors exactly what they needed, enough bad news to have some central […]
Nothing like a 1000 point fall on the US Dow on a Friday night to get the weekend party started. It’s been a surreal few weeks since the first Fed rate hike. Headwinds for markets abound, geopolitical uncertainty moving closer to a WW3 situation, rampant inflation, rising rates, over inflated asset prices everywhere and both […]
The financial and geopolitical happenings of the last two weeks are enormously important to our current financial system and misunderstood by many investors but for a few astute analysts. The Russian invasion of Ukraine, corresponding Western sanctions and attempted seizure of Russian FX reserves are nothing short of a monetary earthquake. The last comparable event […]
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